Economic factors to look at to keep up with the market

• US Labor Statistics Release Calendar
• Fed Meetings (biggest volatility)
  • Fed minutes release (low volatility)
  • Consumer Price Index reports (big volatility)
  • Producer Price Index (big volatility)
  • Employment Situation (big volatility)
  • Personal Consumption Expenditures Index
  • NAHB Housing Market Index?
  • ISM non-manufacturing index
  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reports releases
  • quarterly triple witching expiration of equity derivatives?
• US Treasury (aka interest rate)
• Yield Curve
• Inflation
  • US inflation rate
  • Consumer Price Report Summary
  • Value of the Dollar Index
• Housing market
  • Mortgage rates (scroll down past ads)
  • Forbes Mortgage rates (only an estimate)
  • Zillow reports
  • Redfin reports
• Jobs
  • Unemployment rate
• Oil prices
  • Crude Oil MarketWatch
• SPY
  • Finviz SPY chart
• VIX Index Price
  • When VIX is high, the market is low. When the VIX is low, the market is high. As the VIX goes down, the market goes up. As the VIX goes up, the market goes down.
• Finviz heatmap
• Finviz top gainers
• Stock market news
  • The Big Picture from Investor’s Business Daily
  • Yahoo stock market news
• Seasonality
  • January
    • Usually bad season
  • December
    • Santa Claus Rally

What kind of market is it?

In 2022, the market seems to be inverse to inflation. As inflation goes up, the market goes down. So with the Fed meeting announcing a 75 basis point rate hike, which might signal a recession, it’s a good thing for the market because it will bring inflation and, most likely, up the market.

• Pro-tips
  • shortages cause inflation
  • when things are going on sale, it means there’s more inventory

Main question to ask yourself: Where do you think the market will be in a year from now?

Economic calendar events

As I was reading Stock market news live updates: Stocks struggle for direction after last week’s rebound on the Yahoo stock market news website, they mention some economic events that I hadn’t heard of before but they seem like catalyst events that can affect the direction of the market so I’ll keep a close eye on them.

• core PCE inflation
• the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of consumer prices
• the Conference Board’s consumer sentiment survey
• manufacturing and housing reports