Fed Meeting: Dec 13-14
CPI Report: Dec 12
US Treasury: 3.617%
Yield Curve: Downward slope
US Inflation: 7.75%
Mortgage Rates: 7.101%
Unemployment Rate: 3.7%
Crude Oil: $73.30
some big retailers are saying we might avoid a recession but the Fed is still deciding on whether to keep aggressively raising rates.
prepare to profit when the market turns around
Inflation is due on Tuesday this week.
Investors have a 74% are expecting a 50-basis point rate hike.
Hopes the Fed is winning the fight against inflation is causing the rally.
A disappointment in the CPI reading might result in a volatile reaction from the market. Does that mean a good reading will result in volatility as well?
The Santa Claus rally (seasonal) is coming.
This is a week full of catalysts.
There are $3 trillion worth of options expiring on Friday.
Time is passing but options aren’t decaying.
A cooler CPI reading last month triggered a 5.5% move on SPY last week.
No sentiment of stopping rate hikes until 2024.
They will keep raising rates until they’re at 5.1%. This may have caused the sell-off seen after the Fed meeting.
Moribund economy expected for 2023.
After raising rates to 5.1%, they will be decreased to a target of 2.5%
2023 could bring a global recession.
Is the Santa Claus rally going to happen?
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