Trading Week of Dec 12 – Dec 16

Posted on: December 13th, 2022
By: Tadeo Martinez

Economic Factors

Fed Meeting: Dec 13-14

CPI Report: Dec 12

US Treasury: 3.617%

Yield Curve: Downward slope

US Inflation: 7.75%

Mortgage Rates: 7.101%

Unemployment Rate: 3.7%

Crude Oil: $73.30

SPY: $398.95

VIX: 25

News

Monday

Bear Market News And How To Handle A Market Correction

some big retailers are saying we might avoid a recession but the Fed is still deciding on whether to keep aggressively raising rates.

prepare to profit when the market turns around

Dow Jones Rallies 500 Points Ahead Of Key Inflation Data; Fed Meeting Set To Start; Tesla Stock Nears 2022 Low

Inflation is due on Tuesday this week.

Investors have a 74% are expecting a 50-basis point rate hike.

Dow Rallies More Than 500 Points With Inflation, Rate Outlook in Focus

Hopes the Fed is winning the fight against inflation is causing the rally.

A disappointment in the CPI reading might result in a volatile reaction from the market. Does that mean a good reading will result in volatility as well?

Stock Market Closes Higher Ahead Of Fed Meeting On Expected Lower Inflation; Energy, Tech Stocks Advance

The Santa Claus rally (seasonal) is coming.

VIX Swing Shows Stock Trader Nerves Fraying Before CPI

This is a week full of catalysts.

There are $3 trillion worth of options expiring on Friday.

Time is passing but options aren’t decaying.

A cooler CPI reading last month triggered a 5.5% move on SPY last week.

Tuesday

Consumer prices rose less than expected in November, up 7.1% from a year ago

Fed Rate Hike Looms After Market Rally Fizzles; Tesla Stock Hits New Lows As Elon Musk Admits This

Friday

Fed raises interest rates half a point to highest level in 15 years

No sentiment of stopping rate hikes until 2024.

They will keep raising rates until they’re at 5.1%. This may have caused the sell-off seen after the Fed meeting.

Moribund economy expected for 2023.

After raising rates to 5.1%, they will be decreased to a target of 2.5%

Stocks Head for Second Weekly Loss on Rate Woes: Markets Wrap

Stock Market Near Day’s Lows In Late Trading As S&P Falls Below Key Level; Facebook Parent Climbs On Upgrade

2023 could bring a global recession.

Is the Santa Claus rally going to happen?

Dow down over 300 points, stocks head for first back-to-back weekly loss since September

Few Stocks Make New Highs, And These Fall Below Buy Points

US STOCKS-Wall Street’s slump continues as recession fears mount

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